Hurricane Irene, the long anchor watch #1

Ben Ellison

Ben Ellison

Panbo editor, publisher & chief bottlewasher from 4/2005 until 8/2018, and now excited to have Ben Stein as very able publisher, webmaster, and editing colleague. Panbo is going to the next level in 2019 and beyond.

11 Responses

  1. Christopher says:

    Ben, a suggestion for box wine. We leave the boxes on the dock. We store the bags in plastic bins and have plastic grain storage pantry bin we have modified to hold the wine bag in use (deep open slot for the valve assembly).
    Liquor stores don’t necessarily have to have the same pest control as grocery stores/warehouses (where we are). We have found roach and silverfish eggs in pretty fresh boxes.

  2. Ben Ellison Ben Ellison says:

    All fine here. Looking at the Penobscot Bay buoy GoMOOS F01 ten minute history, sustained winds only broke 30 knots once. The odd thing is that the actual wind speed and direction closely tracked the GFS model predictions that NOAA was generating late last week and throughout the weekend (and other models viewed with the WeatherTrack app). But the NOAA audio and text forecasts were for significantly higher wind speeds. What’s up with that?
    Nonetheless I was glad to be in a very protected spot on two well set anchors, and it was good practice at handling the ground tackle solo. The Torqueedo-powered ( http://goo.gl/MVd8J ) tender turns out to be excellent for kedging that big Fortress and chain. It hadn’t occurred to me that the torque and precise forward/reverse control would be useful for this.

  3. Sandy Daugherty says:

    Chicken Little got a gummint job. With NOAA.
    The tragic downside is that the General Public now discounts Weather Warnings no matter how well supported by hard science they have become. For the absolute majority of listeners, all those warnings never came true. Ergo, Chicken Little (after consulting with his Personal Liability Attorney) must make even more dire warnings to get people to take all the proper precautions. Pretty soon, “GET OUT NOW or DIE” will elicit no more than a get-out-now party on the balcony.

  4. Michael says:

    The forecasts didn’t look too bad, but my mooring hasn’t been checked in a couple years, so I took “Barbara” around to the other side of the island. the glass got down to about 29″ but we only saw winds in the 30s (ini the lee, of course). Worst part was power went off on Chebeague so naturally the wi-fi hotspot I was stealing from went down. We jogged back home at about first light after the wind went to the westward.
    We usually take several cases of Bota boxes with us when we go south each year. Wine tends to be expensive in the Caribbean (rum is cheaper, but we prefer wine with meals).

  5. Dan Corcoran (b393capt) says:

    I spent the storm on land, but still found the noaa site very useful.
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5day?large#contents
    I especially found the wind speed probabilities useful for deciding just how far I should go in disassembling above deck components of my sailboat.

  6. William P. says:

    Good article! I often wish folks would take more time to understand proper mooring techniques for wind storms – It’s a subject that is often ignored even with threatening storms. Most boats that suffer losses are due to schaffed ropes and from other boats that slam into them.
    I often forward an article (many years old) to friends… that clearly outlines Ben’s strategy of the two large anchors.
    Good work!
    William from windy South Florida.

  7. Fishwife says:

    I’m pleased that many people took the warnings seriously and took steps to secure their vessel and keep it safe. I’m also a little puzzled by comments that imply the warnings were over-egged. Given the difficulties in accurately predicting the behavior of what is after all, a chaotic system, it seems to me that it was only ever a slightly better chance than evens for the storm to loose much of it’s power by the time it reached Long Island. It could have re-energized. Still, I’m commenting from far away so those of you on the ground may know better.
    What I’m certain of is that even with a 5% chance the storm would hit my area, I’d want to take the sort of precautions Ben and others ensured they did. I’d not want the warnings to be played down
    In my mind, I can hear the sort of recriminations that would happen if national and local leaders failed to take all the steps they could to impress on people the possibility of serious damage and harm to the person.
    Fishwife in the sunny Med.

  8. Ben Ellison Ben Ellison says:

    But will people keep taking precautions if it seems like hurricane warnings are exaggerated? Here’s a weather guy who writes “there is really no reliable evidence of hurricane-force winds at any time the storm was approaching North Carolina or moving up the East Coast”: http://goo.gl/Mw9nV
    I think he’s not only got a good point but also that the weather models barely predicted hurricane force winds to reach Hatteras, let alone north of there. I have tremendous respect for the National Hurricane Center (which I got to tour once), and I know that part of their methodology is to back check their predictions against what actually happens. I wonder what they will conclude about Irene.

  9. Paul says:

    NOAA was spot on re: Nantucket Sound / Irene forecast.
    Steady 50, gusts to 65+ Sunday PM.
    Pretty much what happened.

  10. Ben Ellison Ben Ellison says:

    I’m guessing you mean miles per hour, Paul? Here’s the weather buoy history for Nantucket Sound, which shows sustained 40 knots for just one half hour period, and gusts slightly over 50 knots in three periods: http://goo.gl/5O82r
    Our marine forecast 175 miles north of you was for more wind than that.

  11. Paul says:

    MPH … as recorded in HarwichPort.

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